NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23564459d47cb1ba3293d2815e21836c01e97185b16932b38ff1694361f3f109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chargers, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Chargers | 52c | 43,704$22,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,977.95 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texans | 48c | 31,397$15,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,004.35 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…f272backed Texans | 47c | 25,379$11,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,975.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texans | 49c | 11,823$5,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,754.22 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Chargers | 50c | 9,548$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.19 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chargers | 49c | 9,118$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617.44 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Texans | 50c | 7,500$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.99 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Texans | 49c | 6,472$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.59 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…a466backed Texans | 50c | 5,660$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chargers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chargers | 54c | 4,668$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.58 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Texans | 44c | 4,490$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chargers | 50c | 3,346$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.4 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chargers | 52c | 3,123$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.23 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chargers | 57c | 2,580$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.4 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chargers | 52c | 2,418$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.17 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Chargers | 47c | 2,257$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.43 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chargers | 50c | 2,226$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.86 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Chargers | 59c | 2,105$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8c…3771backed Texans | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Texans | 54c | 1,629$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.66 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Texans | 53c | 1,600$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Chargers | 51c | 1,537$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked Chargers | 74c | 1,483$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Chargers | 50c | 1,176$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chargers | 47c | 1,084$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.12 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Chargers | 61c | 909.18$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.74 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Chargers | 58c | 874$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chargers | 53c | 818.1$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Chargers | 57c | 767.93$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.84 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Texans | 53c | 762.33$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Chargers | 48c | 721.18$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.01 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chargers | 63c | 716.58$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.99 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Texans | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texans | 43c | 671.07$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.51 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chargers | 51c | 604$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Texans | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chargers | 49c | 597.87$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.35 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texans | 51c | 566.89$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.11 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Texans | 50c | 506$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chargers | 48c | 483.56$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.36 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Chargers | 51c | 477.94$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Texans | 63c | 456.7$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Chargers | 50c | 431.37$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Chargers | 54c | 422.73$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Chargers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…ab89backed Chargers | 69c | 358.9$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Chargers | 58c | 320$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chargers | 46c | 317.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.49 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe814…be87backed Texans | 52c | 307.79$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Texans | 46c | 267.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Chargers | 46c | 261$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.34 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Texans | 49c | 252.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Texans | 50c | 246$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…f266backed Texans | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Chargers | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Texans | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Texans | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…e333backed Texans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Chargers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Texans | 50c | 178$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Chargers | 58c | 172.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Chargers | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Chargers | 47c | 163.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chargers | 51c | 153.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Chargers | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Chargers | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Texans | 49c | 147.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Texans | 49c | 142.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Texans | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8132backed Chargers | 75c | 133.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chargers | 58c | 126.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Chargers | 52c | 121.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Chargers | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Chargers | 47c | 100.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f6…7c34backed Chargers | 51c | 92.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230d…7967backed Chargers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texans | 50c | 83.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Chargers | 60c | 79.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Texans | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Chargers | 41c | 79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texans | 48c | 72.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Texans | 50c | 70.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Chargers | 57c | 70.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Chargers | 53c | 63.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Chargers | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Texans | 47c | 56.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…dd16backed Texans | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Texans | 49c | 50.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Texans | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Chargers | 49c | 43.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Texans | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Chargers | 61c | 41.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…6b8dbacked Texans | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Chargers | 59c | 38.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chargers | 50c | 38.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Chargers | 43c | 36.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Texans | 49c | 36.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Texans | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Chargers | 79c | 34.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chargers vs. Texansthis page
- LAC vs. HOU: O/U 36.5Under won
- LAC vs. HOU: O/U 37.5Under won
- LAC vs. HOU: O/U 38.5Under won
- Spread: LAC (-1.5)LAC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.