MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebdf118de7a90e7128f74f4d8a7fd55db6b75d039a81b644dcf1f3a83fb9b2da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Atlanta Braves, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb06…d915backed Atlanta Braves | 23c | 125,132$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 58,824$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,823.53 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 54,724$40,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,117.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 14,500$9,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,758.71 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 13,975$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.36 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 12,243$8,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.97 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 7,093$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.64 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 5,665$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 5,283$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.02 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…f957backed Atlanta Braves | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 4,948$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.5 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 4,221$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.29 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…87e4backed Atlanta Braves | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 3,634$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.61 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7ac6backed Atlanta Braves | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +187%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…6e40backed Atlanta Braves | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 3,010$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 2,717$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.39 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.19 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.02 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 2,435$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.07 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 2,333$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.33 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 2,082$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.28 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 1,594$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.23 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,555$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.95 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 1,360$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 1,345$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 1,279$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.51 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 1,198$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.84 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 1,175$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.95 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 1,170$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.99 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Atlanta Braves | 12c | 1,042$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Atlanta Braves | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 970.56$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 951.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.87 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 933.71$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.84 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…3c34backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 933.08$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.07 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 797.41$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.24 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 745.07$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.31 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 729$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 703.33$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 699.86$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.21 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Atlanta Braves | 23c | 695.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 647.94$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 614.32$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.12 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Atlanta Braves | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 583.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.63 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 549.98$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 544.71$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 511.85$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.16 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 498.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 496.18$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 493.2$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 491.77$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 491.61$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.89 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Atlanta Braves | 26c | 461.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 449.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 413.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 397.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 392.16$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 387.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.66 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 385.71$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.71 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 360.04$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 349.7$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 333$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 329.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 307.84$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Atlanta Braves | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 299$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 297.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 290.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.73 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 264$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Atlanta Braves | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.