NFL · resolved market
Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 47.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df0f20a0e7451d2467714daa5a6677e428dd4bd798a64fd0c30be0af8d3d413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 7,424$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.85 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 49c | 6,249$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.21 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 3,694$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.08 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.11 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…10eabacked Over | 52c | 2,715$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…5395backed Under | 48c | 2,683$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8c…90c3backed Over | 52c | 2,632$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c26…d2f4backed Under | 48c | 2,629$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c3…1282backed Under | 48c | 2,607$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…b84abacked Over | 52c | 2,600$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…acf8backed Under | 48c | 2,557$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc9…5cbdbacked Over | 52c | 2,539$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…2bfcbacked Under | 48c | 2,517$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ee…48febacked Over | 52c | 2,514$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…a376backed Over | 52c | 2,434$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…be9bbacked Under | 48c | 2,411$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6913…aef4backed Under | 48c | 2,350$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaa…dba3backed Over | 52c | 2,310$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899d…cabcbacked Over | 52c | 2,276$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…3f9cbacked Under | 48c | 2,270$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…dbcabacked Over | 52c | 2,258$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa4…392fbacked Under | 48c | 2,237$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…cfc5backed Over | 52c | 2,236$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.28 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122f…cac0backed Under | 48c | 2,191$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83e…0f4bbacked Under | 48c | 2,185$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +147%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3e…cc97backed Over | 52c | 2,183$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…661ebacked Over | 52c | 2,143$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…7846backed Under | 48c | 2,139$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7436…6839backed Over | 52c | 2,078$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9c2backed Under | 48c | 2,017$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…03d3backed Over | 52c | 2,003$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…36b5backed Under | 48c | 2,001$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…1ad6backed Under | 48c | 1,917$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4838…1f78backed Over | 52c | 1,789$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 1,515$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.85 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 53c | 699.99$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…b4b0backed Over | 55c | 548.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Over | 53c | 518.87$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 55c | 517$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Under | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 52c | 480.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Under | 47c | 457.45$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Under | 50c | 386$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 380.63$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.34 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 51c | 308.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.11 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 53c | 250$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…095dbacked Over | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 46c | 137.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…dffcbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffed…8b46backed Over | 53c | 69.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Under | 50c | 50.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 47c | 43.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 54c | 36.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 51c | 32.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…429fbacked Under | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 51c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dd…1417backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 47.5this page
- Falcons vs. CardinalsFalcons won
- Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 44.5Over won
- Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 45.5Under won
- Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 46.5Under won
- Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Cardinals (-1.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Falcons (-1.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Falcons (-2.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Falcons (-3.5)Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.