NFL · resolved market
Spread: Falcons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89fc4429693348eca8893c5038b679bcbd58ca24d485937ffc64316f4ee51691
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof Falcons, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $668,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $669,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Cardinals | 49c | 388,612$190,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,419.7 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Falcons | 51c | 325,000$165,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,250 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cardinals | 49c | 124,877$61,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,189.73 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Falcons | 53c | 94,992$50,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,927.19 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Falcons | 51c | 93,272$47,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,703.28 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Falcons | 51c | 78,725$40,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,575.3 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cardinals | 47c | 66,924$31,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,715.76 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Cardinals | 47c | 23,555$11,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,071 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Falcons | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cardinals | 49c | 10,154$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,975.49 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Cardinals | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Falcons | 51c | 7,910$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.13 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Falcons | 51c | 6,274$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.26 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…1f95backed Cardinals | 47c | 2,620$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2113…e380backed Falcons | 53c | 2,614$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cardinals | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…0792backed Cardinals | 47c | 2,472$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…1ba1backed Falcons | 53c | 2,447$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…c1fabacked Cardinals | 47c | 2,323$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…426abacked Falcons | 53c | 2,240$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…d8a1backed Falcons | 53c | 2,192$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…e920backed Cardinals | 47c | 2,168$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…7680backed Falcons | 53c | 2,049$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Falcons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.01 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cardinals | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74a…d79bbacked Cardinals | 47c | 1,959$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Falcons | 51c | 1,939$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.19 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Cardinals | 47c | 1,893$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.64 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Falcons | 51c | 1,678$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.17 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Falcons | 51c | 1,627$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.66 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Cardinals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cardinals | 48c | 966$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.68 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Falcons | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Cardinals | 48c | 879$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.92 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Cardinals | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Falcons | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Cardinals | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Cardinals | 49c | 581.68$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.02 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cardinals | 49c | 508.09$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.6 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Falcons | 51c | 486.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.43 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Cardinals | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Cardinals | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Cardinals | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Falcons | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Cardinals | 48c | 364.58$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Falcons | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Falcons | 53c | 352.15$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.03 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Falcons | 51c | 340$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Falcons | 51c | 324.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cardinals | 45c | 320.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Cardinals | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Cardinals | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Cardinals | 52c | 298.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cardinals | 48c | 257$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Falcons | 51c | 225$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Falcons | 48c | 223.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Falcons | 53c | 212.76$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Cardinals | 50c | 202.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cardinals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Falcons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Falcons | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Falcons | 52c | 165$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636f…819fbacked Falcons | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cardinals | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Falcons | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Falcons | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Falcons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Cardinals | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Falcons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Cardinals | 46c | 88.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…d1a9backed Falcons | 55c | 82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…779dbacked Falcons | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Falcons | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Falcons | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Cardinals | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Cardinals | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cardinals | 49c | 52.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Falcons | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Cardinals | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…dac8backed Cardinals | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…9b88backed Cardinals | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Cardinals | 47c | 42.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Cardinals | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…b74abacked Falcons | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…abd8backed Cardinals | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Falcons | 51c | 37.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Falcons | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…23c6backed Falcons | 55c | 36.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked Falcons | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Cardinals | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 25.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Cardinals | 49c | 23.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Falcons (-2.5)this page
- Falcons vs. CardinalsFalcons won
- Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 44.5Over won
- Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 45.5Under won
- Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 46.5Under won
- Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 47.5Under won
- Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Cardinals (-1.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Falcons (-1.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Falcons (-3.5)Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.