Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x400016836ce578cfd36ff7f714a03c8827499a0755547c21cba8010caffd8015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 47c | 15,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 52c | 8,895$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.52 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 6,021$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.17 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 5,237$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.51 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Over | 54c | 5,158$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.26 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 4,845$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Under | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,847$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.56 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 895.41$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.06 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 49c | 548.47$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 39c | 324.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 58c | 305.18$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 57c | 237.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 52c | 221.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 50c | 209.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 147.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 109$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 47c | 105.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 47c | 105.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 34c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 40c | 76.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 36c | 75.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 50c | 67.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Over | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 28c | 52.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 51c | 41.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…834ebacked Under | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 38.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Over | 50c | 32.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 44c | 31.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Over | 62c | 29.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 28.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 52c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 156.5this page
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue BoilermakersMichigan Wolverines won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 155.5Over won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.