TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Purdue Boilermakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$494,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$419,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Purdue Boilermakers51c282,000$143,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,819.9224351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Michigan Wolverines49c131,319$64,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,972.744146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Purdue Boilermakers2c29,761$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.2290645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dbf…53bebacked Michigan Wolverines49c21,316$10,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,871.331650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Michigan Wolverines49c19,224$9,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,727.5441752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Michigan Wolverines49c18,720$9,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,519.221,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Michigan Wolverines49c11,316$5,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,742.3312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Purdue Boilermakers52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Purdue Boilermakers50c9,606$4,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,802.8610745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Michigan Wolverines49c9,000$4,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,55018548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Michigan Wolverines48c7,996$3,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,157.8830249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines50c7,498$3,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,736.355,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Michigan Wolverines49c7,400$3,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,77435243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Michigan Wolverines49c6,252$3,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,208.622969%20 W · 9 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Purdue Boilermakers51c6,184$3,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.641,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Purdue Boilermakers51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.985341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Purdue Boilermakers52c5,456$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8372437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Purdue Boilermakers50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50011048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Michigan Wolverines49c5,000$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,562.4661652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Michigan Wolverines48c4,721$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.0110045%45 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Purdue Boilermakers4c4,520$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.311,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Michigan Wolverines52c4,014$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.0414325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Michigan Wolverines50c3,300$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50dc…ed37backed Michigan Wolverines50c3,192$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Purdue Boilermakers51c2,399$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.659250%46 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Michigan Wolverines49c2,226$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.2489850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Michigan Wolverines49c2,164$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.7869142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Purdue Boilermakers51c2,086$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.4334343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michigan Wolverines49c1,688$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.682,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Purdue Boilermakers50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Purdue Boilermakers49c1,132$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.936944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Michigan Wolverines49c1,080$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.025450%27 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Michigan Wolverines51c1,067$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.596549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Michigan Wolverines49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51027851.1%142 W · 136 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Michigan Wolverines50c939$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.511244.6%50 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Michigan Wolverines49c847$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.8263551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe71e…8e58backed Michigan Wolverines49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Michigan Wolverines52c697.18$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.185253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Purdue Boilermakers51c653.21$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.5299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Purdue Boilermakers36c652.73$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.376457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Michigan Wolverines59c506.65$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.293,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…fab1backed Purdue Boilermakers47c503.7$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.71435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Michigan Wolverines51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Michigan Wolverines52c483.85$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.253855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed Purdue Boilermakers48c447.44$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.77520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Purdue Boilermakers9c393.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4342934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Boilermakers49c379.38$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.995,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Purdue Boilermakers49c378.54$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.161,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Purdue Boilermakers49c346.94$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed Michigan Wolverines50c329.63$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.823253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c12…b8f3backed Michigan Wolverines48c316.64$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.342441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2deb…8e68backed Michigan Wolverines49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.121478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Purdue Boilermakers48c285.42$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13725049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd977…017dbacked Michigan Wolverines53c281.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.261040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Michigan Wolverines60c271.96$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4470936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Michigan Wolverines49c225.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2116054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Michigan Wolverines52c225$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10892246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Purdue Boilermakers47c211.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.631154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Michigan Wolverines50c211.16$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.664763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe379…377cbacked Michigan Wolverines49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Michigan Wolverines49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked Purdue Boilermakers51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-60.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Purdue Boilermakers51c199.65$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3957448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Michigan Wolverines50c198.81$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.417959.5%47 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41d0…fe91backed Purdue Boilermakers50c198.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce1…b62cbacked Michigan Wolverines51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.087955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Purdue Boilermakers52c193$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3641554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Michigan Wolverines52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3114051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Michigan Wolverines53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6818846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Purdue Boilermakers38c185$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick34cpaid+66.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Michigan Wolverines52c184.26$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6115947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Michigan Wolverines48c182.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3130746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Michigan Wolverines49c180$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9115252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Purdue Boilermakers50c162.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.691,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Purdue Boilermakers49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Purdue Boilermakers52c135$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.212649.2%62 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Purdue Boilermakers45c124.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4732652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Michigan Wolverines50c121.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7219848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Michigan Wolverines51c121.28$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.943339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Michigan Wolverines49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Purdue Boilermakers51c101.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528353%44 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Michigan Wolverines50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Michigan Wolverines49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519258.7%54 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Purdue Boilermakers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038351.7%198 W · 185 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Purdue Boilermakers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4985248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Michigan Wolverines53c96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.121,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca3…0a58backed Michigan Wolverines53c94.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+54.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Purdue Boilermakers50c83.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8426749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d20…9871backed Michigan Wolverines50c80.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Michigan Wolverines54c79.83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.368953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michigan Wolverines48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked Michigan Wolverines49c74.21$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.85850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Purdue Boilermakers48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0450548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Purdue Boilermakers39c71.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7217446.6%81 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Michigan Wolverines49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4313050%65 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b15…f827backed Purdue Boilermakers52c69.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.374845.8%22 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Michigan Wolverines54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8110045%45 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae1…7bb6backed Michigan Wolverines47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.831973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Michigan Wolverines49c60.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Michigan Wolverines61c57.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5271655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.