Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e8b1e9cf317fa7ee559558afeefba54a6d82069a83d0bf77282bf8b42c59543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Under | 48c | 11,553$5,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,545.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 9,101$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 52c | 2,451$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.29 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 2,151$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.37 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 1,223$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 319.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 48c | 172.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 54c | 108.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 76.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 44c | 55.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 48c | 44.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 55c | 41.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 57c | 29.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 155.5this page
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue BoilermakersMichigan Wolverines won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 156.5Over won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.