Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x872dc25e073dd0d200a8a85b9f735a7e18afeaf28aaa90ee4e581baa2b2d428b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof Utah State Aggies, Memphis Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Memphis Tigers | 49c | 5,115$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.28 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Utah State Aggies | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah State Aggies | 50c | 2,917$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Memphis Tigers | 52c | 1,935$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah State Aggies | 48c | 903.5$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Utah State Aggies | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Memphis Tigers | 52c | 634.6$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Utah State Aggies | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Memphis Tigers | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Utah State Aggies | 51c | 387.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Memphis Tigers | 50c | 308.96$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Memphis Tigers | 51c | 217$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Utah State Aggies | 50c | 145.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Utah State Aggies | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Utah State Aggies | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Utah State Aggies | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Memphis Tigers | 49c | 38.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed Utah State Aggies | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah State Aggies | 44c | 27.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)this page
- Memphis Tigers vs. Utah State AggiesUtah State Aggies won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 154.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.