Tennis · resolved market
Samsun: Radu Albot vs Yanki Erel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x144f8af7e81787fd473f862e889fcd5e3dc7efb8281aa1d1c4cfe301fe5bf69d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yanki Erelof Radu Albot, Yanki Erel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Radu Albot | 12c | 11,548$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.73 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Radu Albot | 11c | 3,177$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yanki Erel | 78c | 2,800$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.22 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Radu Albot | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Radu Albot | 10c | 2,070$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…8172backed Radu Albot | 9c | 990$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Radu Albot | 6c | 598.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Radu Albot | 14c | 357.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Radu Albot | 12c | 350$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Radu Albot | 43c | 328.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Yanki Erel | 56c | 201$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Radu Albot | 30c | 199.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Radu Albot | 7c | 162.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yanki Erel | 79c | 123.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Radu Albot | 45c | 111.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yanki Erel | 55c | 101.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Radu Albot | 44c | 97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Radu Albot | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Yanki Erel | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…1af6backed Yanki Erel | 60c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yanki Erel | 60c | 55.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Radu Albot | 39c | 44.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Yanki Erel | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yanki Erel | 60c | 41.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yanki Erel | 73c | 34.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Yanki Erel | 61c | 33.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Yanki Erel | 71c | 30.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yanki Erel | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Radu Albot | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Radu Albot | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…dddabacked Yanki Erel | 61c | 27.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yanki Erel | 76c | 27.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Yanki Erel | 72c | 27.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Yanki Erel | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…b68abacked Yanki Erel | 71c | 26.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Yanki Erel | 56c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yanki Erel | 58c | 24.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Yanki Erel | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Yanki Erel | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…57adbacked Yanki Erel | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.