Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Midon (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb88dccdbc70284264c83b1c11dffc831aa85c3f942c53225e16d54775a9a2fc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Midonof Tabilo, Midon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Tabilo | 54c | 9,312$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Midon | 46c | 6,290$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.7 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Midon | 49c | 1,135$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.84 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tabilo | 51c | 1,094$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.1 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Midon | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Midon | 47c | 705.05$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.68 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Midon | 47c | 588.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.35 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Tabilo | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Midon | 47c | 566.04$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Midon | 48c | 382$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Tabilo | 51c | 370$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Midon | 49c | 278.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tabilo | 4c | 274.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Midon | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Midon | 49c | 209.71$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Tabilo | 51c | 195.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tabilo | 23c | 143.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Midon | 48c | 142.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Midon | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Midon | 26c | 131.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Tabilo | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Midon | 50c | 111.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Midon | 47c | 100.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Midon | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Midon | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Midon | 22c | 99.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Tabilo | 52c | 74.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Midon | 49c | 70.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Midon | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadde…ec24backed Tabilo | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Midon | 48c | 58.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Midon | 49c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tabilo | 55c | 55.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…3ba2backed Midon | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Midon | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Midon | 47c | 53.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Tabilo | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Midon | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Tabilo | 65c | 47.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…4043backed Tabilo | 52c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Midon | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Tabilo | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Midon (+1.5)this page
- Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs MidonTabilo won
- Set 2 Winner: Tabilo vs MidonMidon won
- Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Lautaro MidonAlejandro Tabilo won
- Tabilo vs. Midon: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.