Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44868e9d593fafc9e94001a16def3d1262a03b87e5983d4646a6e62530d698f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 9c | 17,082$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 1c | 11,076$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 6,111$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Yes | 58c | 5,154$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 3,210$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.64 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 2,945$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.2 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 14c | 2,440$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.19 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 12c | 1,595$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.44 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 60c | 1,573$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 38c | 1,521$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.87 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 19c | 874.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 57c | 835.4$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.22 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed No | 2c | 740.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 2cpaid | +2,930.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked No | 11c | 692.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 74c | 661.77$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 581$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 580.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 6c | 448$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 35c | 440.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 78c | 381.94$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 372.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.33 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 16c | 280.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 57c | 263.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.32 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…bbdabacked Yes | 56c | 194.09$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 184$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 44c | 175.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes | 57c | 169.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 12c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed No | 7c | 157.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 10c | 152.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 124.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…2d62backed No | 10c | 100.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c7…48c0backed Yes | 58c | 94.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 57c | 86.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Yes | 58c | 85.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 80.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 56c | 78.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 17c | 76.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 31c | 66.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed No | 19c | 61.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 56c | 56.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 52.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6c3cbacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcea…76fabacked Yes | 57c | 35.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…f4e5backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cc…ad18backed Yes | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…93f6backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 56c | 22.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 69c | 14.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-11?this page
- Will Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?No won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.