TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondioli

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Federico Bondioliof Sumit Nagal, Federico Bondioli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$332,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Sumit Nagal31c32,907$10,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,090.7511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1b…2068backed Federico Bondioli73c20,619$15,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5351442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Sumit Nagal32c17,317$5,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,51072129.7%214 W · 507 L-41.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Sumit Nagal9c13,111$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18011138.7%43 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Federico Bondioli79c10,211$8,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.524,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Federico Bondioli31c9,057$2,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,243.311,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Sumit Nagal28c8,367$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.81,21746.3%563 W · 654 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sumit Nagal44c6,868$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.128,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Federico Bondioli67c5,338$3,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.9913253%70 W · 62 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Federico Bondioli21c5,179$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.8533256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Federico Bondioli22c4,801$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.8137144.5%165 W · 206 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sumit Nagal65c3,618$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.722,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sumit Nagal27c3,196$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.444,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Sumit Nagal17c2,100$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35726554.7%145 W · 120 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…939ebacked Sumit Nagal28c1,740$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.298936%32 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Federico Bondioli48c1,639$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.6117423.6%41 W · 133 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Sumit Nagal49c1,548$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.413,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Sumit Nagal70c1,520$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.2527331.5%86 W · 187 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Federico Bondioli50c1,505$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.441,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sumit Nagal41c1,503$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.484,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sumit Nagal79c1,468$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.328,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Sumit Nagal40c1,314$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.6392145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Federico Bondioli59c1,312$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.126350.6%133 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Federico Bondioli62c1,239$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.851,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Sumit Nagal78c1,238$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.4131653.2%168 W · 148 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Federico Bondioli29c1,207$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.972040.8%294 W · 426 L+2.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Sumit Nagal78c1,100$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85817348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Federico Bondioli63c1,080$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.252568%17 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f3f…1086backed Sumit Nagal31c1,070$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.573857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed Federico Bondioli68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.417851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4890…03f1backed Federico Bondioli18c1,005$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.159916.2%16 W · 83 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53d1…ee11backed Sumit Nagal10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Federico Bondioli66c972.98$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.913,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Sumit Nagal55c852.8$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0462752%326 W · 301 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sumit Nagal31c775.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.86,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Sumit Nagal8c692$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5663440.9%259 W · 375 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…2d0fbacked Federico Bondioli67c689.12$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.451154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5b60backed Sumit Nagal42c671.39$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.2811559.1%68 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Federico Bondioli73c664.07$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.939,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Sumit Nagal79c654.45$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.642,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Sumit Nagal32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sumit Nagal60c567.34$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.852,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Federico Bondioli40c540.38$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.2539560.3%238 W · 157 L+28.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Federico Bondioli19c513.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.628221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sumit Nagal34c499.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1726,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7787…16cabacked Sumit Nagal40c497.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002850%14 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Federico Bondioli60c473.59$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.441,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Sumit Nagal36c458.67$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1237221.5%80 W · 292 L+1.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Sumit Nagal41c454.66$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.371,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sumit Nagal29c422$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.471,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Sumit Nagal38c415.28$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4399244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x693b…84e3backed Federico Bondioli73c408.26$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.269063.3%57 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Federico Bondioli61c399.52$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5245451.3%233 W · 221 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fab…3cabbacked Sumit Nagal19c390$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7626330.8%81 W · 182 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b50…fd61backed Federico Bondioli71c370$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.35752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b9…04a3backed Federico Bondioli44c346.3$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.531947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked Sumit Nagal30c327.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf188…4a83backed Federico Bondioli20c303.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.512423.4%29 W · 95 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Sumit Nagal29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8756853.9%306 W · 262 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Federico Bondioli71c293.36$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3618858%109 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Sumit Nagal56c293.14$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1627853.2%148 W · 130 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Sumit Nagal56c293.14$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1628154.1%152 W · 129 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Sumit Nagal39c282$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.631,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Sumit Nagal35c270.17$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5683661%510 W · 326 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Federico Bondioli47c263$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.965,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Federico Bondioli39c255.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7579646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Federico Bondioli44c249.54$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.771,07136.8%394 W · 677 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Federico Bondioli18c236$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5225633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Federico Bondioli71c220.2$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.355,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Federico Bondioli73c219.85$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.996,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Sumit Nagal25c219.12$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.272,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Sumit Nagal9c218.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.775912.1%92 W · 667 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c44…9756backed Federico Bondioli46c218$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.721181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick52cpaid+54.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Federico Bondioli47c212$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3626546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Sumit Nagal13c204$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.521,84241%755 W · 1,087 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Sumit Nagal31c202$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.622,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…7518backed Sumit Nagal56c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Sumit Nagal33c198.46$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4922552%117 W · 108 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Sumit Nagal56c177.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Sumit Nagal39c175.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.591,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Federico Bondioli18c174$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.282,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbef9…aa36backed Sumit Nagal30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507951.9%41 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Sumit Nagal27c162$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7443950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de4…22e9backed Federico Bondioli73c159.82$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.71861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Sumit Nagal32c154.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Sumit Nagal53c153.83$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5333152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Sumit Nagal12c151.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.171,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Sumit Nagal27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.538246.1%176 W · 206 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Sumit Nagal34c146.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.460452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cb…082bbacked Federico Bondioli69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Federico Bondioli20c142.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.254,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Federico Bondioli34c141.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5525948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Sumit Nagal55c140$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7767848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sumit Nagal57c137.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.379,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Federico Bondioli46c131.8$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1732049.1%157 W · 163 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Sumit Nagal11c131.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.791,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Sumit Nagal71c130$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.734,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Federico Bondioli46c127.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9731942.6%136 W · 183 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe22…b709backed Sumit Nagal80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012656.3%71 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2180…df40backed Sumit Nagal40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507048.6%34 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.