Tennis · resolved market
Cary: Rio Noguchi vs Alex Martinez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b58eec2d5cacd2a0443090b636a563d6a01c9578d23d3052ba768ee9bd5b98e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Martinezof Rio Noguchi, Alex Martinez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rio Noguchi | 17c | 3,401$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.77 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Rio Noguchi | 64c | 2,730$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.32 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Rio Noguchi | 14c | 1,935$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.85 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Martinez | 49c | 1,785$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.12 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alex Martinez | 34c | 1,443$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.5 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rio Noguchi | 22c | 1,117$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.26 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae2…3151backed Rio Noguchi | 61c | 1,009$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Alex Martinez | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alex Martinez | 36c | 998.2$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.67 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Martinez | 62c | 991.28$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Alex Martinez | 33c | 759.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.05 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Alex Martinez | 32c | 675.12$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.57 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Martinez | 37c | 587.65$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.09 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Rio Noguchi | 61c | 503.98$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.43 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Martinez | 56c | 494.86$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Rio Noguchi | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Rio Noguchi | 66c | 488.15$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.17 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Rio Noguchi | 63c | 485.3$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.36 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Rio Noguchi | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Rio Noguchi | 65c | 430.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Rio Noguchi | 42c | 409.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex Martinez | 26c | 397.55$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.18 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Rio Noguchi | 74c | 322.18$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Rio Noguchi | 65c | 307.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Alex Martinez | 39c | 297.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b7…76b7backed Rio Noguchi | 61c | 263.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Rio Noguchi | 63c | 259$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Alex Martinez | 35c | 249.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Rio Noguchi | 65c | 236.92$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Rio Noguchi | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Alex Martinez | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Alex Martinez | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Rio Noguchi | 74c | 165.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.29 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alex Martinez | 36c | 160$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Rio Noguchi | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Rio Noguchi | 46c | 144.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Rio Noguchi | 67c | 139.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Alex Martinez | 37c | 135.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rio Noguchi | 42c | 133.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Alex Martinez | 39c | 129.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alex Martinez | 34c | 129.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex Martinez | 39c | 120.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Rio Noguchi | 74c | 120.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…2f33backed Rio Noguchi | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Alex Martinez | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alex Martinez | 67c | 110.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Rio Noguchi | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alex Martinez | 48c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Alex Martinez | 40c | 102$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Alex Martinez | 35c | 98.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Rio Noguchi | 60c | 95.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Rio Noguchi | 38c | 92.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alex Martinez | 38c | 81.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Rio Noguchi | 25c | 80.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Rio Noguchi | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Rio Noguchi | 32c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Alex Martinez | 33c | 71.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alex Martinez | 37c | 66.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Rio Noguchi | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Alex Martinez | 35c | 64.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Rio Noguchi | 60c | 64.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Alex Martinez | 37c | 61.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Alex Martinez | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Alex Martinez | 23c | 52.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Alex Martinez | 35c | 50.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alex Martinez | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rio Noguchi | 64c | 45.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Alex Martinez | 37c | 44.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Alex Martinez | 44c | 44.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alex Martinez | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Alex Martinez | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked Rio Noguchi | 64c | 39.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Rio Noguchi | 64c | 37.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alex Martinez | 35c | 35.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…e65abacked Alex Martinez | 44c | 34.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Rio Noguchi | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Rio Noguchi | 66c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…4d19backed Rio Noguchi | 62c | 31.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Rio Noguchi | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Alex Martinez | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Alex Martinez | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Alex Martinez | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Alex Martinez | 67c | 24.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…7b62backed Alex Martinez | 62c | 23.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Alex Martinez | 70c | 22.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Rio Noguchi | 64c | 20.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Rio Noguchi | 61c | 20.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Rio Noguchi | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Rio Noguchi | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cary: Rio Noguchi vs Alex Martinezthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Noguchi vs MartinezMartinez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.