Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f39979b6b9cd721c08a08cf7ad3dceda0d30caf3a134f4e4390543e93cf3aec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,603$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.11 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 45c | 2,459$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.45 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Over | 52c | 1,688$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 1c | 1,667$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 48c | 1,273$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.71 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 1,008$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.87 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 11c | 893.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Under | 56c | 873.63$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.23 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 668.42$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.84 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…dc2bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 25c | 202.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 200.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 52c | 177.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 54c | 157.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 47c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 49c | 88.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 46c | 58.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d1bfbacked Under | 49c | 57.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 55.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 58c | 53.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 52.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 51c | 45.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Under | 56c | 44.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 49c | 39.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 38.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 62c | 32.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Over | 47c | 30.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…5920backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 28.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 27.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 52c | 24.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 57c | 21.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5this page
- Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: Hamarkameratene O/U 1.5Under won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: Tromsø IL O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL: Tromsø IL O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5)Tromsø IL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.