Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25b34ca8bd6201c427d7abe8fb5996de55b5ec5345661f0663634c246c4ec3f4

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Nemesis
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $137,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,446 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Team Nemesis	0c	51,547$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.3	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c30…54a2backed Team Falcons	77c	14,485$11,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,344.71	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Nemesis	24c	10,000$2,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,370	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Nemesis	0c	9,320$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	616	9.7%60 W · 556 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons	77c	6,074$4,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,396.96	228	42.1%96 W · 132 L	-25.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Team Nemesis	23c	4,310$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.3	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Nemesis	22c	3,671$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.53	605	42.6%258 W · 347 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Nemesis	22c	2,500$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis	21c	1,901$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Team Nemesis	25c	1,605$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.23	81	37%30 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Team Nemesis	7c	1,397$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.55	150	47.3%71 W · 79 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons	77c	1,348$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.96	426	50%213 W · 213 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Team Falcons	78c	1,300$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.99	204	52.5%107 W · 97 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed Team Nemesis	13c	1,299$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.13	91	22%20 W · 71 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Team Nemesis	8c	1,079$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.07	641	23.4%150 W · 491 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Falcons	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	236	53%125 W · 111 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Nemesis	11c	999.98$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Team Nemesis	23c	820$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.6	237	46.8%111 W · 126 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Team Nemesis	21c	797.98$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.58	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Nemesis	22c	749.99$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.5	562	43.2%243 W · 319 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46b…b195backed Team Nemesis	8c	616.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.85	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70f…5de7backed Team Nemesis	6c	581.86$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis	13c	574.15$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.59	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bb…7466backed Team Nemesis	24c	550$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Team Nemesis	20c	548.64$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.86	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Falcons	78c	505.98$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.45	713	42.5%303 W · 410 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Team Falcons	75c	504$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.88	76	65.8%50 W · 26 L	+8.5wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c4f…0f33backed Team Nemesis	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis	12c	428.42$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.68	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Nemesis	23c	400$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	1,248	44.4%554 W · 694 L	+17.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2b…24f2backed Team Falcons	77c	389.61$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.61	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe289…c31abacked Team Falcons	79c	379.75$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.75	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+4.5wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Nemesis	3c	379$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.28	141	21.3%30 W · 111 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons	75c	350$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.5	421	45.4%191 W · 230 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Team Nemesis	21c	301.02$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.4	243	43.6%106 W · 137 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Nemesis	24c	300$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	360	54.4%196 W · 164 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Team Falcons	79c	261.92$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	91	56%51 W · 40 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked Team Nemesis	15c	259.62$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Nemesis	12c	249.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	378	32.5%123 W · 255 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb79…6274backed Team Falcons	80c	248.05$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.15	171	52%89 W · 82 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Team Nemesis	12c	220.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.47	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Team Nemesis	5c	218.87$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.91	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	37cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d5…ec15backed Team Falcons	75c	207.79$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.95	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Team Nemesis	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x453e…eabcbacked Team Falcons	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	86	57%49 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Team Nemesis	7c	193.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.29	138	27.5%38 W · 100 L	-15.0wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Team Nemesis	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Team Nemesis	25c	191.59$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Falcons	74c	170.7$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.38	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons	79c	170.46$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.8	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Team Falcons	76c	160.57$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.54	229	45.9%105 W · 124 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked Team Falcons	77c	150.29$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.57	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+3.7wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Team Nemesis	9c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	127	20.5%26 W · 101 L	-22.6wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Nemesis	24c	150$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	1,154	47.7%550 W · 604 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8979…9428backed Team Falcons	75c	133.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.43	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed Team Falcons	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	346	67.9%235 W · 111 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Nemesis	17c	120.53$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	137	33.6%46 W · 91 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Team Falcons	75c	119.35$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.84	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	+5.3wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons	79c	110$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.1	605	52.6%318 W · 287 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis	18c	108.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.12	745	49.3%367 W · 378 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Team Nemesis	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.23per pick	45cpaid	-68%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Team Nemesis	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	971	42.7%415 W · 556 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f4…59eabacked Team Nemesis	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Team Falcons	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	507	57.4%291 W · 216 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Nemesis	20c	91.79$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.81	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe516…14ffbacked Team Nemesis	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Team Nemesis	19c	90$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Team Nemesis	12c	89.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked Team Nemesis	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Team Falcons	79c	77.1$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.19	20	65%13 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda60…5133backed Team Nemesis	26c	76.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Team Nemesis	27c	74.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	63%34 W · 20 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Team Nemesis	21c	73.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.41	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb57…6a21backed Team Falcons	77c	65.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.06	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Team Nemesis	23c	60.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.94	491	33.6%165 W · 326 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Team Nemesis	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	84	32.1%27 W · 57 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked Team Falcons	75c	60$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	280	62.9%176 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Team Nemesis	23c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	147	62.6%92 W · 55 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed Team Nemesis	23c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	132	59.8%79 W · 53 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed Team Nemesis	23c	57.62$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	127	59.8%76 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Team Nemesis	27c	56.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	217	51.6%112 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Team Falcons	79c	54.19$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.38	340	45.9%156 W · 184 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea37…ab1fbacked Team Falcons	77c	52.75$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.13	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked Team Falcons	79c	50.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.63	405	39.3%159 W · 246 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd61e…296abacked Team Falcons	73c	49.99$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons	79c	46.75$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	466	49.8%232 W · 234 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbd…04babacked Team Falcons	76c	43.79$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.51	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Falcons	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	595	56.6%337 W · 258 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0f…b369backed Team Falcons	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191a…2ea6backed Team Falcons	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9604…1872backed Team Falcons	75c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc2c…abc9backed Team Falcons	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99a2…36a9backed Team Falcons	76c	26.58$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.38	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff3…73dcbacked Team Falcons	76c	21.05$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.05	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf86…b1c1backed Team Falcons	80c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	91	64.8%59 W · 32 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed Team Falcons	79c	18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.78	182	48.4%88 W · 94 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Team Falcons	80c	16$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.28	256	48%123 W · 133 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event