TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda60…5133

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+50.2%+$15.05
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+83.2%+$19.13
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$24.7
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.8%+$11.16
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$9.27
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+52.7%+$10.54
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.