Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ac05bde8206c67c66510bfa9ce4e7f6737c5b75cb6e6b120fb846436ce795b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked OG | 55c | 19,223$10,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,561.28 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 65c | 6,824$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.57 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 6,800$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.75 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 5,200$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed BetBoom Team | 49c | 5,062$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.71 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed OG | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team | 32c | 4,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 3,810$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.47 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team | 41c | 3,117$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.37 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team | 42c | 3,020$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.3 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed BetBoom Team | 38c | 2,934$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.96 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked OG | 48c | 2,387$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.13 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed OG | 53c | 2,287$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.44 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed BetBoom Team | 18c | 2,260$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.69 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 63c | 1,292$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.51 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed BetBoom Team | 22c | 908.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 52c | 765$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.97 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked BetBoom Team | 35c | 751.64$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.14 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed OG | 67c | 741.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.76 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 692.14$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.52 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 681.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed BetBoom Team | 33c | 600.59$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 590.76$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.75 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed BetBoom Team | 52c | 580.81$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.02 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed OG | 66c | 543.96$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked OG | 63c | 527.21$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.87 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked OG | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked BetBoom Team | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed OG | 71c | 398.89$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked BetBoom Team | 29c | 386.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed BetBoom Team | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed OG | 56c | 321.63$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 293.18$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed OG | 77c | 258.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed OG | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed BetBoom Team | 41c | 242.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 209.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed OG | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed OG | 56c | 177.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed OG | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 79c | 149.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed OG | 69c | 135.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed OG | 55c | 124.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed OG | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked OG | 71c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 86.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 84.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked OG | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked OG | 63c | 79.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed OG | 64c | 78.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…b787backed BetBoom Team | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed BetBoom Team | 32c | 65.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed BetBoom Team | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed BetBoom Team | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…e3c8backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 56.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked OG | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked OG | 69c | 51.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed OG | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed OG | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked OG | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed OG | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…85d0backed BetBoom Team | 30c | 46.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed OG | 78c | 43.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed OG | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…5133backed OG | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked OG | 66c | 38.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked BetBoom Team | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b6b4backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 35.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed BetBoom Team | 43c | 35.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked OG | 75c | 33.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe866…1a70backed BetBoom Team | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked OG | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed OG | 71c | 20.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked OG | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed OG | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…3ac2backed OG | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group ABetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.