Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda9b9325761a7eea12f53e103ecf129c5af80d0052c930c08a9f2b75cfb20ece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof OG, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 2,562$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed OG | 35c | 1,911$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.63 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed OG | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 1,675$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.31 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 22c | 1,573$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.76 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed OG | 13c | 1,171$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked BetBoom Team | 68c | 700$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 664.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.18 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 567$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed OG | 8c | 484.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 422.45$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 307.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 155.3$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 148$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked OG | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed OG | 27c | 100.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked BetBoom Team | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 93.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed OG | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked OG | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked BetBoom Team | 76c | 65.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked OG | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 52.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked BetBoom Team | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked OG | 38c | 34.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group ABetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.