NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ae812a4184d36a411f13094ec08ce9b741e677c987206c9fb7c744e4b0fb005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Bulls, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $594,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $596,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 46c | 450,558$206,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206,976.18 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nets | 54c | 259,999$140,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,599.54 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nets | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets | 54c | 40,000$21,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 53c | 28,464$15,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,313.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nets | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Nets | 53c | 13,096$6,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,155.06 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Nets | 53c | 12,737$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,036.67 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Nets | 54c | 12,345$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,678.7 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bulls | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.97 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Nets | 52c | 9,488$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.07 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 46c | 6,488$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nets | 52c | 6,360$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.79 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Bulls | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.98 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bulls | 48c | 5,833$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Bulls | 48c | 5,417$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…61a8backed Bulls | 47c | 5,106$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Bulls | 49c | 4,157$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.87 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.8 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Nets | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Bulls | 44c | 3,636$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Bulls | 47c | 3,149$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nets | 52c | 2,999$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.59 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Bulls | 48c | 2,780$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.5 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,421$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 53c | 2,413$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.86 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Nets | 55c | 2,218$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.98 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Bulls | 49c | 2,112$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Nets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Nets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Bulls | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Bulls | 48c | 1,929$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.73 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Nets | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Nets | 54c | 1,819$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.87 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 54c | 1,745$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.38 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bulls | 46c | 1,700$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Bulls | 49c | 1,651$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.9 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nets | 54c | 1,556$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.76 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Bulls | 49c | 1,237$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 46c | 1,188$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.59 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Bulls | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Bulls | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 46c | 1,049$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Nets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Nets | 54c | 895.72$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.03 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…ac40backed Bulls | 44c | 809.98$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.39 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 52c | 809.93$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.98 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Bulls | 47c | 797.59$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.09 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Nets | 53c | 700$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.75 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Nets | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Nets | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls | 47c | 585.11$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bulls | 46c | 567.89$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.23 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed Nets | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Bulls | 48c | 501.25$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.6 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Bulls | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Bulls | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…93ccbacked Nets | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Bulls | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Bulls | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Nets | 52c | 407.02$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Bulls | 50c | 400.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nets | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Nets | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Bulls | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Bulls | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 48c | 345.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Nets | 53c | 333.7$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.84 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Bulls | 47c | 316.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked Bulls | 49c | 291$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Nets | 56c | 259.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nets | 52c | 245.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Bulls | 49c | 229.72$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Bulls | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Bulls | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Bulls | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…478ebacked Bulls | 48c | 210.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Bulls | 51c | 201$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Nets | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls | 52c | 175.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Nets | 51c | 149.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Bulls | 46c | 143.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Nets | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Nets | 53c | 116.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Nets | 55c | 115.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bulls | 47c | 112.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Bulls | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Nets | 54c | 109.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…2669backed Bulls | 51c | 104.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Bulls | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Nets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Nets | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Nets | 71c | 99.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Nets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…b098backed Nets | 52c | 97.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Nets won
- Bulls vs. NetsNets won
- Bulls vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Bulls vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Noah Clowney: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Nets won
- Terance Mann: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.