TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bulls (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Bulls, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$594,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$596,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Bulls46c450,558$206,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,976.1887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Nets54c259,999$140,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,599.541,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nets54c100,000$54,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets54c40,000$21,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,3002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets53c28,464$15,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,313.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Nets53c13,096$6,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,155.0638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Nets53c12,737$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,036.6710252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Nets54c12,345$6,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,678.719560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Bulls49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Nets52c9,488$4,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,554.0745850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls46c6,488$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Nets52c6,360$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.7959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Bulls49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.9812144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bulls48c5,833$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Bulls48c5,417$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6009051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4801…61a8backed Bulls47c5,106$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Bulls49c4,157$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.8742648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.81,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Nets55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.3610045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Bulls44c3,636$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.8431644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Bulls47c3,149$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets52c2,999$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.592,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Bulls48c2,780$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls46c2,421$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.516,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets53c2,413$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.863,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Nets55c2,218$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.988153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Bulls49c2,112$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03511351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Nets51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98018747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Bulls50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Bulls48c1,929$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.7326544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Nets52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.088347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Nets54c1,819$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.8741553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84689050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets54c1,745$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.384,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Bulls46c1,700$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7871,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Bulls49c1,651$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.932150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nets54c1,556$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.762,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Bulls49c1,237$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60638946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bulls46c1,188$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.593,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Bulls46c1,088$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4818345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Bulls46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005468.5%37 W · 17 L+9.4wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls46c1,049$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Nets52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nets54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Nets54c895.72$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.0313954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed Bulls44c809.98$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.395339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets52c809.93$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.982,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Bulls47c797.59$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.0926233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Nets53c700$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.7550653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Nets55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Nets54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27622845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls47c585.11$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bulls46c567.89$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.231,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Nets54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.561963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Bulls48c501.25$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.629351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Bulls47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Bulls47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23521139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eda…93ccbacked Nets56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2206533.8%22 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Bulls49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2459051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Bulls47c430$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.115154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Nets52c407.02$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.227052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Bulls50c400.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Nets52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Nets52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Nets54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3714450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Bulls46c369.57$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Bulls44c363.64$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls48c345.6$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.894,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Nets53c333.7$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8419747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Bulls47c316.5$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…8afbbacked Bulls49c291$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.071136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Nets56c259.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nets52c245.68$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.842,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Bulls49c229.72$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11318456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Bulls46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Bulls46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Bulls47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Bulls48c210.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Bulls51c201$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5154351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed Nets55c181.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.814158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls52c175.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.173,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Nets51c149.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Bulls46c143.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9711748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Nets56c117.86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.861,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Nets53c116.02$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9616052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Nets55c115.56$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4723845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bulls47c112.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5287453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Bulls45c110.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Nets54c109.11$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1915649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Bulls51c104.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Bulls50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Nets50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked Nets56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.59960.6%60 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Nets71c99.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1761957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5974…2a69backed Nets51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e5…b098backed Nets52c97.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.65457.4%31 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.