NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d9c2e0fe8b3cf22bd79a26ae36dba26e1feb048674d66741fb158e6e533ea71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Bulls, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafa6…8206backed Bulls | 54c | 6,481$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nets | 45c | 3,530$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.68 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Bulls | 55c | 3,040$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.33 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…cc5bbacked Nets | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…9b0abacked Nets | 46c | 2,481$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 52c | 1,530$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 48c | 1,279$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Nets | 49c | 1,210$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.3 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 52c | 1,112$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.78 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 56c | 1,078$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 55c | 1,056$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Bulls | 56c | 1,001$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…b5dabacked Nets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…8c5ebacked Nets | 44c | 814.61$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.18 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 53c | 802.07$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.1 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 45c | 596.36$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…2e8bbacked Bulls | 26c | 525.2$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bulls | 55c | 363.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bulls | 50c | 312$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 44c | 252.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Bulls | 57c | 238.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Nets | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 47c | 194.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Bulls | 53c | 188.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls | 50c | 177.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bulls | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Bulls | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bulls | 55c | 164$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Nets | 49c | 152$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Bulls | 44c | 134.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nets | 48c | 121.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 54c | 120.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bulls | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 68c | 91.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nets | 47c | 81.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…140cbacked Bulls | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Bulls | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Bulls | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nets | 44c | 60.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Bulls | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Bulls | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Bulls | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 55c | 52.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Bulls | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Bulls | 56c | 32.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Bulls | 57c | 31.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Nets | 44c | 31.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls | 35c | 29.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1e98backed Nets | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…2891backed Nets | 49c | 23.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nets | 47c | 22.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 53c | 20.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Nets won
- Bulls vs. NetsNets won
- Bulls vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Bulls vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Noah Clowney: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Nets won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Nets won
- Terance Mann: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.