TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd12c…f2d4backed Under53c47,675$25,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,088.511947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c13,819$6,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,251.269,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under56c10,729$6,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,008.4627747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c8,400$3,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,45271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over47c5,679$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.7270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over44c4,165$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.387653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Over44c4,165$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.199440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c4,046$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.974,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under52c3,383$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.853,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over47c3,200$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,69624450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c2,858$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.072,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c2,792$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.173,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over48c2,728$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.958347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.612,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over44c1,500$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8351,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Over45c1,051$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.076357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c910.89$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over44c907.16$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.0122643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over45c744$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.254747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c645.61$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.993,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under24c590$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.437930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c527.18$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.213,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c520.32$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.965,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over74c402.29$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2924846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over80c354$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c335.11$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.612,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c285.11$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.064,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over43c227.27$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5463447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over60c211.05$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.961,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked Under63c207.63$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over41c203.86$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8724151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c169.32$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.112,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over41c169$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.711,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over44c165$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.282,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over48c149.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under43c138.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c133.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.43,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc919…c413backed Under12c131.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under63c122.22$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under60c122$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.592,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under50c121.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6540849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a2…5745backed Over48c109.45$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.191643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under37c108.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under36c104.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3814455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over41c103.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2462541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under24c103.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8124330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under36c102.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3715253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Over49c99.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.986333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under41c96.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under57c87.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under60c86.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.842560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Over47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.330146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under31c79.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over46c79.13$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7766646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under53c66.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7418957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c64.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30a5…d47bbacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c56.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7184342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under59c53.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.357657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over44c53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7637949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa206…0f9bbacked Over38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f1…0218backed Under51c47.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over50c43.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5520949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5d…5081backed Over39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44050%20 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8019…9ba0backed Over39c37.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.93850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+238.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over55c37.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8859141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under63c36.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.321,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc766…c4d9backed Over42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Over41c31.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.75839.7%23 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa294…52eabacked Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1853839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89ff…8af2backed Under50c27.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.911250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over66c26.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21a3…eeb5backed Over51c26.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…46a1backed Over51c25.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.494566.7%30 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7835…4ad1backed Over51c24.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.17580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over61c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47150.7%36 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea8…6ef8backed Under50c23.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Under58c23.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7113750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over49c23.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7821459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Over44c22.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.855642.9%24 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under64c21.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.854854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Over49c21.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8316052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…e229backed Over51c20.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.125560%33 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Under62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.