NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 219.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29220bfda64de52c8f393b9b7a3235c5b2ed5954839b270db97adf02de351daf

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 9, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $85,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,608 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbc43…96d3backed Under	51c	42,897$21,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,748.66	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	49c	17,194$8,494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,699.68	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	46c	16,532$7,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,927.5	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under	50c	8,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over	49c	6,246$3,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,185.71	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	5,790$2,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,897.19	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	53c	5,417$2,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,863.66	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,081.82	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under	54c	4,000$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over	49c	3,624$1,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,848.47	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	53c	2,520$1,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,335.83	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Over	49c	1,278$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.88	187	47.1%88 W · 99 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over	46c	1,080$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.43	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	53c	396.88$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.05	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	50c	281.32$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.19	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Over	47c	231.81$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.81	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over	48c	228$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.56	239	46.4%111 W · 128 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	52c	198.85$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.4	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over	50c	180.1$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.05	163	47.2%77 W · 86 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	55c	168.09$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.09	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over	47c	110$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.3	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c61…4fa6backed Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Over	50c	84.25$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.78	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over	51c	81.75$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.06	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under	52c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Over	46c	54.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over	50c	50.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.03	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Over	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	100	69%69 W · 31 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Under	55c	39.27$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	146	43.8%64 W · 82 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Under	52c	37.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.56	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	45c	34.52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.53	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under	52c	29.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.16	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over	55c	27.26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	408	49%200 W · 208 L	-12.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 219.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event