Lol · resolved market
LoL: Cães de Água vs Vantex Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f5cd108383fe6eb0e00b8834c3cac161a404b84b2036b12b4fa440963757ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vantex Esportsof Cães de Água, Vantex Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Cães de Água | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Cães de Água | 20c | 4,800$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cães de Água | 15c | 4,687$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.55 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Cães de Água | 20c | 4,000$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.45 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Cães de Água | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Cães de Água | 18c | 2,251$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Cães de Água | 19c | 1,745$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.23 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Cães de Água | 19c | 1,630$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.05 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Cães de Água | 14c | 1,466$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.09 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cães de Água | 11c | 1,324$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Cães de Água | 18c | 1,185$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cães de Água | 17c | 696.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cães de Água | 20c | 600$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cães de Água | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Cães de Água | 17c | 480.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1,474 | 29%427 W · 1,047 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Cães de Água | 17c | 425.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Cães de Água | 20c | 407.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Cães de Água | 20c | 405$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cães de Água | 21c | 301.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked Cães de Água | 19c | 248.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Cães de Água | 17c | 248.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed Cães de Água | 19c | 201.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Cães de Água | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Cães de Água | 16c | 171.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Cães de Água | 17c | 163.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cães de Água | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Cães de Água | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Cães de Água | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Cães de Água | 10c | 121$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 756 | 49.6%375 W · 381 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…11ddbacked Cães de Água | 18c | 100.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Cães de Água | 20c | 100.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Cães de Água | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Cães de Água | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Cães de Água | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Cães de Água | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Cães de Água | 20c | 95.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Cães de Água | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Cães de Água | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…4fb3backed Cães de Água | 24c | 57.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Cães de Água | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Cães de Água | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Vantex Esports | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.