NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1822e976ddac3ef9188ef9396d42cf2e1c1c74786c5261487ff0b444be92c80c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Warriors, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Warriors | 52c | 40,000$20,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,708.9 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 25,360$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,459.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 50c | 9,055$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.34 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Warriors | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 46c | 5,811$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,018$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,991$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,760$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.28 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,531$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.92 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,441$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,369$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,019$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.83 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 761.7$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.7 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Warriors | 56c | 748$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.88 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Warriors | 53c | 554.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.14 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Grizzlies | 44c | 545.91$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.71 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Grizzlies | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Warriors | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 455.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.58 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Grizzlies | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 418$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies | 50c | 375.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.99 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Grizzlies | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Grizzlies | 48c | 311.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.18 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 286.85$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Warriors | 58c | 213$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…aa9fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 211.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Warriors | 58c | 201.58$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Warriors | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Warriors | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Warriors | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 194.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 192.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…d5a6backed Warriors | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…2964backed Grizzlies | 43c | 166.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 47c | 165.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Warriors | 48c | 150.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Grizzlies | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Grizzlies | 50c | 134.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Warriors | 55c | 114.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Grizzlies | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Grizzlies | 42c | 104.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 60c | 90.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Grizzlies | 48c | 89.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors | 52c | 86.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Grizzlies | 55c | 72.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Grizzlies | 52c | 61.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Warriors | 56c | 56.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Grizzlies | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…233fbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 40.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…317fbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Warriors | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Warriors | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Grizzlies | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Warriors | 56c | 34.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Warriors | 49c | 34.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 31.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 30.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 28.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Grizzlies | 43c | 27.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 25.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Grizzlies | 46c | 25.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Grizzlies | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Warriors | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Grizzlies | 61c | 19.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)this page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.