Lol · resolved market
LoL: NOVEX vs Rising Gaming (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff03a96a575dc06f631cc26c0b49d919c9ae8a5f04bb67920c8f0cbc9c6045e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NOVEXof NOVEX, Rising Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Rising Gaming | 67c | 10,822$7,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,260.41 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NOVEX | 31c | 6,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked NOVEX | 41c | 2,062$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.55 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Rising Gaming | 51c | 1,650$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.1 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NOVEX | 30c | 1,439$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.02 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rising Gaming | 63c | 1,321$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.49 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed NOVEX | 37c | 670$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked NOVEX | 35c | 391.78$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.37 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed NOVEX | 50c | 318.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed NOVEX | 37c | 312.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.3 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed NOVEX | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed NOVEX | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked NOVEX | 36c | 287$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed NOVEX | 48c | 261$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed NOVEX | 42c | 256.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked NOVEX | 47c | 255.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Rising Gaming | 6c | 244.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed NOVEX | 43c | 235$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Rising Gaming | 70c | 210$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked NOVEX | 43c | 204$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed NOVEX | 20c | 201.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.93 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed NOVEX | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58e…5b7ebacked NOVEX | 36c | 185.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed NOVEX | 38c | 168.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…ca19backed Rising Gaming | 80c | 162.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed NOVEX | 30c | 145$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Rising Gaming | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked NOVEX | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6d…c01fbacked NOVEX | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Rising Gaming | 74c | 82.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…9a43backed NOVEX | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked NOVEX | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Rising Gaming | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed NOVEX | 44c | 68.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Rising Gaming | 70c | 62.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked NOVEX | 52c | 50.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…4bbdbacked Rising Gaming | 53c | 44.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed NOVEX | 37c | 39.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…97b5backed Rising Gaming | 53c | 37.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Rising Gaming | 55c | 36.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked NOVEX | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed Rising Gaming | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Rising Gaming | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.