TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f7b…cc20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.53
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.39
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$11.22
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+284.6%+$45.54
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.43
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.72
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$34.41
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$11.5
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.15
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.67
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.34
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$19.56
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.62
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.43
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.34
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.18
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$17.27
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.7
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.68
Canucks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.26
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.27
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.05
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.23
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.54
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.05
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.76
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+177.8%+$30.22
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.28
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Kansasbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.