Tennis · resolved market
Tenerife 2: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luka Mikrut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x089610f8734cdf71517d31928a34f154fd0405f53084f082e3cc95faac7cbf5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruizof Ruiz, Mikrut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Mikrut | 72c | 674.88$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Ruiz | 38c | 652$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.19 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Ruiz | 33c | 607.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.88 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Mikrut | 54c | 598.91$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.64 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…b81ebacked Mikrut | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Mikrut | 37c | 450$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mikrut | 53c | 441.17$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Ruiz | 63c | 431.51$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.66 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Ruiz | 38c | 396.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.63 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…6405backed Mikrut | 70c | 285.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Ruiz | 64c | 238.3$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mikrut | 31c | 229.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ruiz | 58c | 178$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Ruiz | 66c | 152.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Ruiz | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Ruiz | 67c | 149.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Mikrut | 70c | 142.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Mikrut | 58c | 130.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Mikrut | 62c | 109.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Mikrut | 50c | 100.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Mikrut | 21c | 95.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…fdcabacked Ruiz | 36c | 85.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mikrut | 28c | 84.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Ruiz | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Ruiz | 45c | 62.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Mikrut | 72c | 55.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mikrut | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Ruiz | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ruiz | 37c | 48.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Ruiz | 66c | 48.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ruiz | 43c | 44.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…14c0backed Mikrut | 26c | 41.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Mikrut | 63c | 39.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Ruiz | 30c | 39.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Mikrut | 70c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…a4e0backed Mikrut | 55c | 35.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Ruiz | 68c | 29.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Ruiz | 54c | 26.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Ruiz | 57c | 23.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Mikrut | 46c | 23.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Mikrut | 66c | 22.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Ruiz | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Mikrut | 62c | 16.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…438cbacked Mikrut | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.