Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Filip Jianu vs Arthur Gea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5e6a810f6cb54b5ecaec919aed7cf1e9f76b0a0fb04fe57f643dcbd8a0a641b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Geaof Filip Jianu, Arthur Gea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Filip Jianu | 10c | 17,264$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.1 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Filip Jianu | 0c | 5,605$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Filip Jianu | 19c | 2,572$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.3 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Arthur Gea | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Filip Jianu | 38c | 1,423$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.29 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Arthur Gea | 70c | 1,250$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Filip Jianu | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 884.54$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.54 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Filip Jianu | 29c | 823.53$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Filip Jianu | 33c | 822.16$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.92 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…06fbbacked Arthur Gea | 62c | 802.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Arthur Gea | 69c | 728.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.77 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Filip Jianu | 18c | 679.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Filip Jianu | 4c | 584.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Filip Jianu | 9c | 492.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Arthur Gea | 67c | 450.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Filip Jianu | 7c | 445.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Filip Jianu | 37c | 370.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Filip Jianu | 37c | 360.59$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Filip Jianu | 36c | 330$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Filip Jianu | 19c | 327.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…b0b5backed Filip Jianu | 34c | 314.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Filip Jianu | 31c | 301.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Filip Jianu | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Filip Jianu | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Filip Jianu | 28c | 217.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Filip Jianu | 31c | 216$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Arthur Gea | 67c | 200.59$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 199.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 150.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Filip Jianu | 35c | 136.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 115.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…3e82backed Filip Jianu | 11c | 108.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Filip Jianu | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Filip Jianu | 34c | 102.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Arthur Gea | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Arthur Gea | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Arthur Gea | 66c | 94.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…b68abacked Arthur Gea | 68c | 84.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Arthur Gea | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Filip Jianu | 26c | 64.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Filip Jianu | 23c | 62.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Arthur Gea | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Arthur Gea | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Arthur Gea | 65c | 54.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…53edbacked Arthur Gea | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 53.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Filip Jianu | 33c | 51.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Filip Jianu | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Arthur Gea | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Arthur Gea | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Filip Jianu | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 32.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 32.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Filip Jianu | 38c | 31.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Arthur Gea | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4b66backed Arthur Gea | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Arthur Gea | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Arthur Gea | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Arthur Gea | 71c | 30.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Filip Jianu | 37c | 28.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arthur Gea | 62c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 17.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Arthur Gea | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.