Lol · resolved market
LoL: 3BL Esports vs Baam Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x580dacdd431621c5e7109dcd00b2437db5c832b1b6116cf4b717f4ffa0908bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3BL Esportsof 3BL Esports, Baam Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Baam Esports | 2c | 2,332$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 114 | 0%0 W · 114 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Baam Esports | 62c | 1,241$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.79 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Baam Esports | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Baam Esports | 68c | 635.12$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed 3BL Esports | 40c | 600.7$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.59 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Baam Esports | 22c | 582.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked 3BL Esports | 75c | 529.43$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Baam Esports | 80c | 460$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 3BL Esports | 20c | 450$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Baam Esports | 5c | 439.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed 3BL Esports | 42c | 350.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…c6a5backed 3BL Esports | 68c | 327.43$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Baam Esports | 7c | 273.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed 3BL Esports | 45c | 266.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed 3BL Esports | 63c | 240$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Baam Esports | 73c | 162.71$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed 3BL Esports | 16c | 147$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.07 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…ad58backed Baam Esports | 9c | 125.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked 3BL Esports | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked 3BL Esports | 68c | 65.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…58b4backed 3BL Esports | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked 3BL Esports | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed 3BL Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…5290backed 3BL Esports | 65c | 36.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Baam Esports | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed 3BL Esports | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Baam Esports | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Baam Esports | 67c | 22.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…ff1fbacked 3BL Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc4…e415backed 3BL Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked 3BL Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…8967backed 3BL Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9d…0fcbbacked 3BL Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: 3BL Esports vs Baam Esports (BO3)this page
- LoL: 3BL Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 1 Winner3BL Esports won
- LoL: 3BL Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 2 WinnerBaam Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.