TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,397 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes36c16,370$5,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,813.7813933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c9,950$6,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,480.8547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c8,212$5,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.8998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c2,799$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.8543748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c2,590$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.1746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0059336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes47c1,350$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.2912156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yes35c1,211$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes66c1,078$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.822652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c1,026$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.7533444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No65c941.71$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6411055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes45c898.2$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.1911063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes65c894.08$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.7914843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes34c891.18$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No65c845.68$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.9922852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Yes68c772.58$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes35c755.79$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.292313%3 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-64.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No66c703.03$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.03560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes35c660$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No66c620.44$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7730055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed No34c589.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.061844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes35c587.14$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.842035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes34c579.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Yes36c503.63$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802050%10 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No53c481.21$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5823551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes25c321.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.241414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes54c312.06$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.13966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No47c311.39$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.724242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes33c299.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.977536%27 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c292.72$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3816858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008949.4%44 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No65c285.71$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked No35c285.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No31c254.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.652138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes68c245.96$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.154740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes35c241.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.661844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3f9…c119backed Yes50c226.02$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes64c220$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.811858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No35c213.54$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes45c182.12$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.816865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2fb0…3e75backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No44c152.23$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.514946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes67c149.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No33c149.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.522564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No58c147.79$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4412532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5df…c7debacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9475…a29ebacked Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+113%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes36c140.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No65c139.23$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.512962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No66c118.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4610160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed No33c116.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No65c116.3$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.71478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba7c…38c7backed Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes35c102.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…8689backed Yes35c101.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes14c100.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5128659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes34c99.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.952213.6%3 W · 19 L-6.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-72.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes33c91.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed No66c89.38$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed No33c86.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c46…6a2abacked No35c85.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5449…5659backed Yes70c84.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Yes34c84.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.692748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed Yes36c83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.88540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed No33c74.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes35c71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.856955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes44c70.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8813149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a9…67a0backed Yes34c70.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes34c70.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes34c65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedd1…1ff8backed Yes35c64.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes35c61.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.45250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbc…3b01backed Yes45c61.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3094…d467backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214637%17 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked No34c59.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5163…9a4fbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-55.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bc…7d78backed Yes35c57.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked No35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick37cpaid+61.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes35c56.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.78051.3%41 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.