Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb6e8e5a0516b7982420689a245762da2a6fc4b0dfaeb02e0ae8fe144644db8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 37c | 2,800$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 2,055$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.78 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 2,019$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,422$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.78 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 676.14$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.91 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 618.28$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.37 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed No | 66c | 604.18$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 590$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed No | 67c | 521.28$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 362.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 347$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.9 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 62c | 338.03$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…37e2backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 74c | 269.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed No | 79c | 254.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 224.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.56 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 76c | 218$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.51 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 21c | 205$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 21c | 154.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 63c | 147.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 10c | 133.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 69c | 122.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…38c7backed Yes | 36c | 116.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 35c | 106.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed No | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 22c | 84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…9654backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…0cbdbacked No | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 24c | 58.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked Yes | 31c | 48.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 69c | 47.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 66c | 45.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed No | 65c | 44.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…e43ebacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…67a0backed Yes | 38c | 34.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 31.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…bb19backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Yes | 38c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-16?No won
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.