Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32374be7c959017e7beaa212340db2222084fd5bbd4f8269fb85d06657f73b2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictus Gamingof JD Gaming, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa45d…b413backed JD Gaming | 37c | 950.54$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.7 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Invictus Gaming | 63c | 950$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.5 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Invictus Gaming | 66c | 485.3$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed JD Gaming | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked JD Gaming | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Invictus Gaming | 65c | 82.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed JD Gaming | 37c | 54.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…9898backed JD Gaming | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked JD Gaming | 35c | 39.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed JD Gaming | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)Invictus Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.