CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x578d17deee2d7b64fa035d6153f40e8c189117ba3898939e0324e4a32715b39f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof FORZE Reload, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FORZE Reload | 50c | 3,745$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.41 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MASONIC | 54c | 3,211$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.9 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed FORZE Reload | 45c | 555.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed MASONIC | 14c | 451.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.67 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed FORZE Reload | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked MASONIC | 55c | 143.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked MASONIC | 38c | 130.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked MASONIC | 45c | 89.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked MASONIC | 29c | 81.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed MASONIC | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed MASONIC | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MASONIC | 40c | 40.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed FORZE Reload | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed MASONIC | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ba13backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 31.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed MASONIC | 80c | 27.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed MASONIC | 45c | 22.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed MASONIC | 62c | 20.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x101d…922cbacked MASONIC | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed FORZE Reload | 72c | 18.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…4d1dbacked FORZE Reload | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group BMASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
- Map Handicap: FORZE.R (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)MASONIC won
- Map Handicap: MSC (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5)MASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.