CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc1d592c21bcb95198992a0bac4e1a31145ee52465f0be6e902050103e77cd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof FORZE Reload, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed FORZE Reload | 41c | 722.07$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.89 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MASONIC | 52c | 348.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.22 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed MASONIC | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed FORZE Reload | 69c | 290.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed FORZE Reload | 46c | 282.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed FORZE Reload | 71c | 277.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.31 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed FORZE Reload | 73c | 254.01$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FORZE Reload | 11c | 245.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…3365backed MASONIC | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MASONIC | 55c | 117.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 30c | 106$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked FORZE Reload | 70c | 101$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed FORZE Reload | 29c | 96.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed FORZE Reload | 56c | 89.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MASONIC | 40c | 83.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked MASONIC | 68c | 81.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb50f…c837backed FORZE Reload | 48c | 52.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed FORZE Reload | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed FORZE Reload | 64c | 39.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…1fcbbacked MASONIC | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…1eccbacked MASONIC | 70c | 28.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…4d1dbacked FORZE Reload | 72c | 26.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8875…17dabacked MASONIC | 77c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed FORZE Reload | 70c | 14.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerMASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
- Map Handicap: FORZE.R (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)MASONIC won
- Map Handicap: MSC (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5)MASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.