La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0b9ff2fc98b8f70e4501e47a1796ac11ca8f3b9db6c55fc205fcbd6004103e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 6,884$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.8 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 5,327$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.98 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.59 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 50c | 2,998$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.87 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Over | 51c | 2,193$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.69 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 1,952$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.48 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 50c | 1,896$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Under | 78c | 1,284$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.64 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 37c | 1,094$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.56 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,028$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.6 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 51c | 979.29$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.44 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Over | 20c | 900$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 22c | 800$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…aa90backed Under | 64c | 793.34$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 51c | 694$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.94 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 41c | 668.29$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Over | 51c | 559.59$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 49c | 441.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 24c | 423.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 51c | 421.57$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 64c | 398.18$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.03 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 38c | 380$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 246.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 26c | 242.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4997…4bb6backed Under | 53c | 239.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 33c | 228.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…6016backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 51c | 162.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 50c | 159.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2939…2e57backed Over | 45c | 137.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 112.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 27c | 101.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 51c | 89.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 82.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Under | 50c | 80.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…9dfebacked Over | 51c | 79.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Over | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 41c | 64.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Over | 21c | 57.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 35c | 50.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 51c | 49.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 51c | 48.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Over | 41c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…86aebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 51c | 38.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 43c | 30.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…d67dbacked Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 51c | 26.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…b998backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 25.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f2…bd91backed Under | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Under | 70c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.