Middle East · resolved market
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x836e01d34c67bbae976e7dd26b5ef2ec5e0f15f261f62ebae3d3ef4de32258c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0afc…30b2backed Yes | 33c | 9,184$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,195.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 78c | 8,129$6,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360.79 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6b…6027backed No | 26c | 5,565$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 73c | 5,401$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.44 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…650ebacked No | 57c | 5,305$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…81eabacked Yes | 25c | 5,244$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +107%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 42c | 5,136$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.86 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Yes | 19c | 5,086$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked No | 65c | 4,890$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 32c | 4,743$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 16c | 3,549$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.54 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 43c | 3,449$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.79 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 3,381$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…9030backed No | 47c | 3,214$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed No | 10c | 2,750$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…1db6backed No | 54c | 2,710$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 6c | 2,694$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.7 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked Yes | 34c | 2,610$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 2,145$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.36 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…de57backed Yes | 23c | 2,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.33 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed No | 19c | 2,136$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.91 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,040$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.54 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,914$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 74c | 1,899$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.53 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 75c | 1,736$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.69 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…96b9backed No | 30c | 1,669$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.57 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 10c | 1,662$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.18 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…2edabacked Yes | 33c | 1,530$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf2…aecabacked Yes | 28c | 1,509$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +79%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 64c | 1,492$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.86 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 28c | 1,420$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.77 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 38c | 1,351$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.68 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 72c | 1,329$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.43 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 58c | 1,300$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.02 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed No | 78c | 1,284$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 1,252$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.63 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…2e06backed Yes | 53c | 1,201$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 23c | 1,198$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.98 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 17c | 1,150$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 75c | 1,114$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…a2edbacked No | 12c | 1,010$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed No | 19c | 1,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e72…0306backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…5c7abacked No | 27c | 955.42$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 18c | 888$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 20c | 873.04$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.29 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…d0eebacked Yes | 76c | 872.54$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 8c | 841.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 71c | 812.43$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.44 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b2…b463backed Yes | 49c | 792.64$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 14c | 787.65$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed No | 8c | 772$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 73c | 745.19$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.2 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc588…2949backed Yes | 23c | 684.84$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed Yes | 76c | 641.39$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed No | 72c | 620.55$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.64 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed Yes | 61c | 592.88$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…099bbacked Yes | 22c | 590.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…6cc9backed No | 28c | 586.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…1a28backed No | 73c | 583.88$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 572.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 15c | 568.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.52 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509c…240abacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…4e5bbacked No | 80c | 547.14$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 77c | 511.19$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.7 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 18c | 510.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.73 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…fd07backed No | 20c | 495.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed No | 73c | 490$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 24c | 447.74$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 61c | 430$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.02 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked No | 71c | 419.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a2…632cbacked No | 21c | 400.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…e0e1backed Yes | 60c | 395$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…faa7backed No | 31c | 369.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 12c | 356.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…182cbacked Yes | 22c | 356.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…3152backed Yes | 22c | 321.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…0874backed No | 32c | 316.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eff…ec23backed Yes | 34c | 313.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 33c | 305.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.67 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…f94bbacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c14…4b80backed No | 67c | 297.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…d6c3backed Yes | 20c | 285.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd434…ebd2backed No | 40c | 283.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…d308backed No | 53c | 277.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked No | 78c | 275.83$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 26c | 272.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…1076backed Yes | 75c | 268.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…fc9fbacked No | 77c | 260.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 28c | 256.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…58c2backed No | 39c | 256.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 72c | 239.09$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fda…5e7bbacked No | 25c | 236.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 65c | 221$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…3c2abacked No | 79c | 220.83$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.