CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Players vs MAGICOS (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e03323653d83a9c2d35bfd029e597f6b65524565aab838c7e54035fb9022a70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Playersof Players, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MAGICOS | 1c | 3,648$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Players | 58c | 417.29$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Players | 66c | 309.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…4dc1backed Players | 70c | 291.84$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 76cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed MAGICOS | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MAGICOS | 40c | 264.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed MAGICOS | 55c | 187.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked MAGICOS | 56c | 92.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed MAGICOS | 32c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MAGICOS | 44c | 79.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked MAGICOS | 37c | 75.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MAGICOS | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Players | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Players | 60c | 44.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed MAGICOS | 35c | 32.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Players | 66c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Players | 65c | 30.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed Players | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked MAGICOS | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78b…a688backed Players | 52c | 21.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.