CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs megoshort (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e82aaf5f56b4a4111e23ceedbacf6af35c863c6205e3f010cc0ac47cb7a1514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIG Academyof BIG Academy, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07f1…9f40backed BIG Academy | 42c | 7,131$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,127.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed megoshort | 2c | 3,953$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked megoshort | 32c | 3,233$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.33 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed megoshort | 48c | 2,017$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed megoshort | 59c | 885.42$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.4 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed megoshort | 57c | 870.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked BIG Academy | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed megoshort | 41c | 788.84$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.28 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked megoshort | 59c | 714.41$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked megoshort | 33c | 593.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed megoshort | 44c | 511.89$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.41 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab4…676fbacked megoshort | 31c | 474.81$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BIG Academy | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed megoshort | 59c | 356$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BIG Academy | 41c | 340.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.04 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed BIG Academy | 51c | 331.37$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.37 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed megoshort | 42c | 330$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed BIG Academy | 41c | 290.51$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 53c | 217.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed megoshort | 31c | 213$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…bd8abacked megoshort | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed megoshort | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…40e9backed BIG Academy | 50c | 186.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…a815backed BIG Academy | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed BIG Academy | 76c | 173$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed megoshort | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked megoshort | 30c | 168.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked megoshort | 62c | 154.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…1f67backed BIG Academy | 40c | 145$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed BIG Academy | 77c | 129.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked BIG Academy | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked megoshort | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…b2fcbacked megoshort | 50c | 96.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…94e9backed megoshort | 50c | 89.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed megoshort | 32c | 88.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed megoshort | 65c | 76.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…919bbacked megoshort | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed megoshort | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed BIG Academy | 70c | 56.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BIG Academy | 66c | 51.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…42fbbacked BIG Academy | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed megoshort | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked megoshort | 58c | 41.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed megoshort | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bc…bd4dbacked BIG Academy | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed megoshort | 52c | 39.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed megoshort | 36c | 37.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed megoshort | 28c | 36.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked megoshort | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b9…ca38backed megoshort | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…2b98backed BIG Academy | 60c | 32.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd5…5857backed BIG Academy | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed megoshort | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked megoshort | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked megoshort | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked BIG Academy | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed BIG Academy | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs megoshort (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs megoshort - Map 1 WinnerBIG Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.