South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35f58da090793e890e2d0a921981b0be7b937a0e28387e752f61587c33e03960
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 54c | 12,128$6,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,578.7 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 51c | 8,600$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.99 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 7,227$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.75 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 51c | 4,493$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.55 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 3,056$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 2,071$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.64 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 1,492$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.08 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 35c | 1,249$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.98 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 49c | 757.68$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.26 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 52c | 753.81$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.4 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked No | 52c | 655.35$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 533$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.17 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 519$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.31 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 295.51$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked No | 29c | 280.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed No | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 80c | 189$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 48c | 146.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 22c | 131.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 126.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 69c | 121.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 20c | 105$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 100.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 48c | 97.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 58c | 96.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 38c | 83.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed No | 54c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 60.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 37c | 59.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 50c | 56.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes | 49c | 55.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed No | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 49c | 50.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 60c | 44.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f8…9908backed Yes | 50c | 39.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 53c | 34.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Yes | 77c | 33.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 45c | 32.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Yes | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 55c | 27.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Yes | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Yes | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…f8c4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…8f87backed Yes | 78c | 17.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes | 73c | 17.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.