South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d9332815feba7cb910f5d1ed22f7ccfe73360f12779abba607a63477def6ca5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 1,549$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 7c | 1,464$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,304$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.07 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,250$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.13 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 14c | 1,200$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.94 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 683.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 74c | 512$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 467.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 74c | 395$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 74c | 391$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Yes | 26c | 188$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 73c | 168$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 74c | 146$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Yes | 26c | 145$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Yes | 26c | 128$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Yes | 26c | 128$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 73c | 112$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 73c | 95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 73c | 95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 73c | 90$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed No | 73c | 84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 73c | 81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f8…9908backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Yes | 26c | 68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Yes | 26c | 66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 74c | 66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 46c | 60.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 57.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Yes | 26c | 57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 53c | 55.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Yes | 27c | 53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Yes | 27c | 53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Yes | 27c | 47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Yes | 26c | 47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed No | 73c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.