South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60c42fb23ff895d28132ceb8a26ad322fb2b5a42163b6198cffa63ee95304dd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 2,061$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.55 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.91 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,202$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 910.68$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 75c | 588$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 27c | 358.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 263$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 240.56$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Yes | 25c | 176$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 75c | 170$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 75c | 164$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Yes | 25c | 144$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Yes | 25c | 131$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 27c | 101.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 73c | 98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Yes | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 70c | 84.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 30c | 84.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed No | 73c | 81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Yes | 25c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 75c | 66.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed No | 76c | 60.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 53.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Yes | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 21.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.