Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Albany Great Danes (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dfb88566afd107f0f9e965c8470a91837f25f4f9aca73550e6e0cb98249bccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maine Black Bearsof Albany Great Danes, Maine Black Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Maine Black Bears | 52c | 9,476$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,570.15 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Albany Great Danes | 48c | 4,523$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Albany Great Danes | 52c | 2,042$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.39 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Albany Great Danes | 49c | 892$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.94 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Albany Great Danes | 48c | 867$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Albany Great Danes | 50c | 638.01$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Albany Great Danes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Albany Great Danes | 48c | 271.51$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Maine Black Bears | 44c | 226.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.21 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Maine Black Bears | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Maine Black Bears | 43c | 181.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.28 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Maine Black Bears | 51c | 127.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Albany Great Danes | 48c | 82.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Maine Black Bears | 48c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Maine Black Bears | 48c | 66.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Maine Black Bears | 42c | 55.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Maine Black Bears | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…63a6backed Albany Great Danes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Albany Great Danes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Albany Great Danes | 49c | 25.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Albany Great Danes (-3.5)this page
- Albany Great Danes vs. Maine Black BearsMaine Black Bears won
- Spread: Albany Great Danes (-4.5)Maine Black Bears won
- Spread: Albany Great Danes (-5.5)Maine Black Bears won
- Spread: Albany Great Danes (-7.5)Maine Black Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.