TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$403,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$421,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No63c190,884$119,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,948.232356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Yes37c94,595$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,594.592850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes37c71,548$26,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,075.262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No63c50,000$31,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,499.983756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes37c38,114$14,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,011.8215455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed No63c25,642$16,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,154.48580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c24,348$13,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,483.461,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c23,399$10,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,896.7671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No63c12,000$7,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5605354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No12c11,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.995330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes37c10,499$3,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,579.8331049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No63c8,086$5,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,094.155156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No61c4,659$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.8112839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No12c4,284$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes37c3,294$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.0511070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes38c3,229$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.2752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes36c3,212$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.481040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8603537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes37c2,874$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.8187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.581770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+51.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes38c2,631$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.2221143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No63c2,600$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6387549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c2,130$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.314337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes37c2,101$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.3211355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes37c2,074$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.3419055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.996648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c64…5e45backed No1c1,278$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes37c1,238$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.753756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes40c951.49$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.493447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes38c931.22$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.0226660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes37c860.09$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.293745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Yes59c747.46$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Yes37c675.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No40c657.66$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.131127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes37c656.76$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.766119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Yes61c651.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes37c617$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.7128448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55f…ce65backed No21c561.92$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No8c559.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.233938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes37c538.89$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.51776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes37c515.71$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.368942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes38c500.5$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.6926046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes37c445.83$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.482857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Yes37c430.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2703053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked No63c404$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No62c401.55$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9623151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24810545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes37c318$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3412147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed No62c306.45$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No13c303$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.542729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No9c296.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6911916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed No50c282.36$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.581030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.274238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes37c267.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.571947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes39c258.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.971612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No17c252.89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.159535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c242.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.531,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes36c227.2$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.413167.7%21 W · 10 L+7.5wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+70.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked No64c212.55$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f91…c21fbacked No60c206.42$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No12c195.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.192236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes38c183.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0714247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes37c161$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.435044%22 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed No64c159.17$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.873461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick62cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes36c124.18$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0426346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No42c119.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-57.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes38c99.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes37c99.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No62c97.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4926550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No39c90.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.454833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes56c87.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7422854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb911…750abacked No18c87.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa118…e021backed No53c74.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed No62c74.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked No64c73.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21af…8a8ebacked Yes37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.575100%5 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+206.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes77c65.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8218360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe261…08e3backed Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Yes37c63.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.78450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Yes37c63.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa272…2625backed Yes39c61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.211275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes67c60.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0126040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes53c50.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.623228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.518245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305529.1%16 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.520454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.55352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes37c48.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.656248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes37c48.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.43348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+57.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes39c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6626845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed No61c40.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.514445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.262437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes39c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.622340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.83826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.