Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c1af4d59562eb4daad85b747079d44e3991a659ffca6f7f040b529e10e6422c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 34c | 6,392$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.31 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 5,955$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.04 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 33c | 3,101$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.48 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 2,476$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.69 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 65c | 2,307$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 67c | 2,143$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.77 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 66c | 1,664$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.17 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 1,548$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.33 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 73c | 1,543$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 34c | 1,241$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.98 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 31c | 829$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.99 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 729$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 29c | 729$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.41 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 699.61$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.88 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 34c | 564.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.87 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 521.82$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.28 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb857…5958backed Yes | 5c | 410.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 18c | 407.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 385$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 66c | 378$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 67c | 293.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Yes | 27c | 266.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 210.72$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 201.11$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked No | 72c | 199.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…7830backed Yes | 34c | 193$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Yes | 34c | 170.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e3…7d97backed Yes | 33c | 170.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 67c | 117.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 66c | 108.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 81.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Yes | 28c | 70.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 66cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Yes | 28c | 53.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 72c | 51.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 66c | 49.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 72c | 48.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 66c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa375…0374backed Yes | 36c | 30.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 66c | 30.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 77c | 28.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 67c | 24.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked No | 67c | 22.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 67c | 16.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 16.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will FC Nantes vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?No won
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.