Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Grigor Dimitrov vs Tomas Machac
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc70e0ca60e03f0e4cf3e0790603fecb3b75b91e150049ac6ddd5c2a4af4fbb8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Machacof Dimitrov, Machac
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Machac | 59c | 21,677$12,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,910.01 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dimitrov | 42c | 18,897$7,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.02 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Machac | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.44 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Machac | 55c | 9,070$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.28 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…7298backed Machac | 56c | 8,700$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.62 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Machac | 55c | 6,415$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.44 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Machac | 57c | 5,114$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.66 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Dimitrov | 44c | 5,100$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.99 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Dimitrov | 45c | 5,000$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.95 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Dimitrov | 46c | 4,377$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dimitrov | 40c | 4,355$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.46 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Dimitrov | 43c | 4,176$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.67 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Machac | 53c | 4,138$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.38 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dimitrov | 40c | 4,115$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.94 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Dimitrov | 42c | 4,088$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.05 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dimitrov | 23c | 4,082$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.91 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dimitrov | 37c | 4,063$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.15 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Dimitrov | 41c | 3,819$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.73 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dimitrov | 44c | 3,815$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.47 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Machac | 57c | 3,008$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.4 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dimitrov | 43c | 2,682$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.31 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Machac | 56c | 2,455$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Dimitrov | 43c | 2,404$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.58 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Dimitrov | 44c | 2,076$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.6 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Machac | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.97 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dimitrov | 44c | 2,044$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.58 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Dimitrov | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Dimitrov | 44c | 1,806$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Machac | 55c | 1,718$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.43 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dimitrov | 1c | 1,636$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dimitrov | 44c | 1,500$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Dimitrov | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.99 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Dimitrov | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.9 | 1,151 | 44.4%511 W · 640 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Dimitrov | 44c | 1,400$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Machac | 56c | 1,396$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.23 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Dimitrov | 42c | 1,310$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.19 | 1,090 | 52.6%573 W · 517 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Dimitrov | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Machac | 78c | 1,245$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.92 | 438 | 63.9%280 W · 158 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Machac | 57c | 1,211$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.53 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Machac | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Machac | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Dimitrov | 46c | 751.21$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Dimitrov | 45c | 734$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.3 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Machac | 57c | 703.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.61 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Machac | 76c | 673.78$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Machac | 58c | 585.62$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.96 | 623 | 45.4%283 W · 340 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…b271backed Dimitrov | 10c | 581.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Dimitrov | 33c | 537$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Machac | 58c | 515.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.37 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Dimitrov | 35c | 507.46$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.21 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Machac | 70c | 487.76$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Machac | 55c | 444.31$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.91 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Dimitrov | 41c | 443$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.63 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Dimitrov | 14c | 437.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Machac | 58c | 430.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.36 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…4522backed Machac | 59c | 429.32$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.16 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Machac | 56c | 425.4$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.18 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Dimitrov | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Machac | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Dimitrov | 26c | 382.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Dimitrov | 45c | 379.83$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Machac | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Dimitrov | 32c | 335$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Machac | 61c | 329.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Dimitrov | 43c | 321.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dimitrov | 26c | 320$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Machac | 57c | 304.75$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Dimitrov | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Dimitrov | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Machac | 67c | 283.94$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Machac | 56c | 252.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Machac | 56c | 242.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Machac | 67c | 233.32$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Machac | 56c | 230$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Dimitrov | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Machac | 57c | 227.09$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Dimitrov | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Dimitrov | 46c | 218.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…67adbacked Dimitrov | 45c | 205.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Machac | 57c | 205.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Machac | 56c | 204.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Machac | 56c | 192.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Dimitrov | 47c | 187.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…02e2backed Machac | 58c | 185$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Dimitrov | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Dimitrov | 42c | 179.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Machac | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Dimitrov | 42c | 177.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Machac | 57c | 175.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dimitrov | 41c | 173.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Machac | 60c | 166.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Machac | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…e2fcbacked Dimitrov | 21c | 166.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Dimitrov | 21c | 162.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Dimitrov | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Dimitrov | 44c | 146.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Machac | 56c | 144.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Dimitrov | 36c | 138.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…086fbacked Dimitrov | 30c | 135.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Dimitrov | 46c | 131.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Grigor Dimitrov vs Tomas Machacthis page
- Dimitrov vs. Machac: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Dimitrov vs MachacMachac won
- Set Handicap: Machac (-1.5) vs Dimitrov (+1.5)Machac won
- Set Handicap: Machac (-2.5) vs Dimitrov (+2.5)Machac won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.