Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2369e5e68f87e7cd215f8871d2ef374a97b2e4a964dd2cfc74b5c4491b8fc392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 25c | 19,850$4,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,887.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 76c | 4,888$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 59cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 3,300$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.16 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 3,127$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.48 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 2,116$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.07 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 1,217$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.05 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 1,022$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 809.96$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.37 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 24c | 768.83$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.95 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 71c | 610$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.1 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 557.46$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.67 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…1a6fbacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 27c | 262$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 68c | 210.48$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…09ddbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 36c | 192.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.19 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 189.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 31c | 189$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.58 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 74c | 160$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 23c | 159$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 73c | 137.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…0afebacked No | 75c | 134$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 25c | 134$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 25c | 119$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 25c | 101.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba8…c31fbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +200%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…028ebacked Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 81.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 33c | 47.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd225…569fbacked No | 77c | 44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 70c | 41.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked No | 26c | 41.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked No | 73c | 41.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…0deabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4d…ad15backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 66c | 39.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 75c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 72c | 32.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked No | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 75c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 65cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed No | 77c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…0451backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 75c | 13.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-18?No won
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.