Lol · resolved market
LoL: Gity Meavedronu vs CITA Kaizen (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f98555cf2cfbabb58ba72a26f0d8e239e915aa35cb8f7b78e1099006dea970b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CITA Kaizenof Gity Meavedronu, CITA Kaizen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed CITA Kaizen | 72c | 12,411$8,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.78 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Gity Meavedronu | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Gity Meavedronu | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Gity Meavedronu | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Gity Meavedronu | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Gity Meavedronu | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Gity Meavedronu | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Gity Meavedronu | 29c | 501.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Gity Meavedronu | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Gity Meavedronu | 29c | 456.64$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Gity Meavedronu | 30c | 440$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Gity Meavedronu | 27c | 410.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe202…d282backed Gity Meavedronu | 30c | 323.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Gity Meavedronu | 29c | 213.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…e63cbacked Gity Meavedronu | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Gity Meavedronu | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Gity Meavedronu | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked CITA Kaizen | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Gity Meavedronu | 28c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Gity Meavedronu | 26c | 44.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CITA Kaizen | 72c | 34.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed CITA Kaizen | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed CITA Kaizen | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked CITA Kaizen | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked CITA Kaizen | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.