Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FCSB win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x050dd91547937153aadcf2328dbc71139bd1eda5235bf2df7079b08b9f529bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,587$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.45 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 19c | 2,570$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 2c | 2,097$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,811$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 1,289$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 1,058$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 10c | 869.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 13c | 698.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 18c | 599.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…99b9backed Yes | 18c | 589.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 19c | 524.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 80c | 381.21$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 337$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 18c | 243.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Yes | 19c | 186.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 155.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…b2f4backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FCSB win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FCSB end in a draw?No won
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.