Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6172556845e0ef8e6246501f42ba679f080b56bf3c6085dd7f9019ffb17128ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 12,253$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,875$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 3,747$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.73 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 7c | 2,574$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800c…e4c6backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 10c | 1,825$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.53 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,636$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.64 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,309$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 3c | 926$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 5c | 820.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 1c | 790$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 10c | 776$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 9c | 666.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 11c | 644.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 10c | 548.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 10c | 460$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 11c | 418.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked Yes | 10c | 313.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 5c | 309.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 13c | 154.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…2092backed Yes | 11c | 136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…ae3cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 13c | 92.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.