Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993ab9985a6bff8acb7490f763ee9dc1278bf48c363df792dad44dbeffde31c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2eb…562dbacked Yes | 20c | 15,012$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 80c | 9,915$7,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 6,634$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.44 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 80c | 6,500$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 80c | 5,876$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.21 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 5,721$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.01 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 5,373$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.79 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 4,791$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.21 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 80c | 4,392$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.31 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 80c | 3,447$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.45 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,003$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 20c | 976.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 839.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 4c | 750.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 20c | 651$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 642.23$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 20c | 599.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 575$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 7c | 525.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 12c | 433$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 79c | 412.16$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800c…e4c6backed Yes | 20c | 330$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 19c | 315.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 226.05$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes | 19c | 135$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 21c | 87.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 22c | 81.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 20c | 70.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 20c | 59.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 22c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 79c | 54.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked No | 80c | 44.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 78c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 80c | 13.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.